2023 Electoral Ventures LLC. But registration figures vary greatly by county. This election cycle, voters in Pennsylvania were universally able to vote by mail in the general election. Copyright 2023 | Terms & Conditions | About Us | Dick Young | Archives. Christopher On the expectation-setting remarked upon earlier from the Biden campaign about Florida, what are we to make of the fact that the campaign told me this a few days ago about Pennsylvania that "we can win without Pennsylvania," though they didn't think they'd needto? Traditional political mapmakers, at least throughout the 20th century, had used blue to represent the modern-day Republicans, as well as the earlier Federalist Party. These maps give extra visual weight to larger areal units, whether by county or state. Report that just went out from the Pennsylvania Election Protection Coalition on issues today in the state: "Among the issues: Several polling places opened late. The most significant difference between blue and red states occurred from late June to early August. [37][38] Nearly half of U.S. voters resided in counties that voted for George W. Bush or John Kerry by 20 percentage points or more in 2004. Later, in the 1888 presidential election, Grover Cleveland and Benjamin Harrison used maps that coded blue for the Republicans, the color perceived to represent the Union and "Lincoln's Party", and red for the Democrats. MIT Election Data and Science Lab / Harvard Dataverse, Overview and Live Results: Chicago Mayoral Election, Legislative Special Elections, Michigan Rep. Elissa Slotkin Running for U.S. Senate, Initial 2024 House Ratings from Sabato's Crystal Ball. The Left's Funny New Lie: It's The 'Red States' With More Crime! Two counties flipped from red to blue: Erie, in Pennsylvania's northwestern corner, and Northampton, in eastern Pennsylvania. Will Pennsylvania be red or blue in 2020? What Painted Us So Indelibly Red and Blue? - Governing A new, lower flat income tax rate will take effect in 2023. This problem is compounded if the units are not equally significant. The choices of color and shading likewise affect the map's appearance. Democrats' new logo: Change you can sell? During the Bush administration, the red-blue map was criticized by some[31] for exaggerating the perceived support for President Bush. It further claims that from 1976 to 2004, in an attempt to avoid favoritism in color-coding, the broadcast networks standardized the convention of alternating every four years between blue and red the color used for the incumbent president's party. The Midwest has five states in the East North Central part of the region and seven in the West North Central. Lancaster County is 52 percent Republican, 32 percent Democrat and 16 percent independents and others. The look of a map can vary significantly depending on the classification choices. US Treasury Yield Curve: My Favorite Investor Tool, click here to sign up for my free weekly email, The Liberal Invasion of Red-State America, DRUGS, TRAFFICKING, MURDER: Americas Immigration Crisis Continues, Vermont Abandoned, Dairy Farm Economy Devastated. Data: The Princeton Gerrymandering Project through 2018; 270toWin research. [58], The choice of colors in this divide may appear counter-intuitive to non-American observers, as in most countries, red is associated with socialist, communist, or social democratic parties, while blue is associated with conservative parties. Given the general nature and common perception of the two parties, "red state" implies a conservative region or a more conservative American, and "blue state" implies a more liberal region or a more liberal American. Over the last decade, there has been a notable increase in Latinos' share of the overall population in Arizona, up from 25 to 31 percent since 2000. Is New Hampshire a blue state? - Quora Related: List Of US States And Their Capitals In Alphabetical Order With PDF. It is not a red state. Here's Where All the Cracks in the 'Blue Wall' Were for Biden - The New But also, the early voter turnout we're seeing has been - seems to have been a factor. The Keystone State became one of the three collapsed Democratic Blue Wall states that handed Trump the election. Georgia: Red, blue or purple? They had ads, social media, conference calls, press releases, you name it on, all on fracking. Wisconsin flips blue for Biden in 2020 election - The Badger Herald The paradigm has been criticised on several fronts. States that voted against Mr. Trump in 2016 have seen 103,918 deaths, according to the latest New York Times tally on Thursday afternoon, compared with 91,525 in states that supported him. Similarly, at least one network would have used yellow to indicate a state won by Ross Perot in 1992 and 1996, though neither of them did claim any states in any of these years. Americas Colleges Have Become Progressive Liberal Rat Holes, Russia and the High Priesthood of the Neocon Synod, DeSantis Hits the Road for Law and Order Tour. By opting into newsletters you are agreeing to our. [24] Large areas of color appear more saturated than small areas of the same color. Non-English-speaking residents faced language access issues at a few polling locations. Likewise, Republicans have elected many statewide officeholders in states that vote strongly Democratic in presidential elections, such as Massachusetts, Illinois, Maryland, Vermont, and New Jersey. I feel like my job this entire night might be explaining why #nothingmatters inPA. [37][38] In 2020, 58 percent of U.S. voters lived in landslide counties. Trump, meanwhile, is trying to run up the score in those pro-fracking areas that already likehim. Vice versa for Montana. polls closed in Calif., Idaho, Ore., Wash. polls closed in Ariz., Colo., Kan., La., Mich., Minn., Neb., N.M., N.Y., N.D., S.D., Texas, Wis., Wyo. We worship an awesome God in the blue states, and we don't like federal agents poking around our libraries in the red states. President-elect Joe Biden flipped five states from red to blue this election Michigan, Wisconsin, Arizona, and Pennsylvania and is expected to flip Georgia, where he leads Trump. 44% of Americans in the South favored secession, with Republican support at 66%; while Democratic support was 47% in the Pacific states.[50][51][52]. With all eyes on Georgia and the upcoming Senate runoffs slated for Jan. 5, 2021, Emory College Dean Michael A. Elliott hosted a panel discussion Dec. 2 examining Georgia's new swing-state status and future role in American politics from business, marketing . Prior to Election Day, the U.S. Supreme Court rejected a request by Pennsylvania Republicans to block a state court order that allows mail ballots arriving up to three days after Nov. 3 to be counted. Joe Biden won back Pennsylvania for Democrats in the 2020 election after President Donald Trump carried the state in 2016. If you're curious how long the streak is for each state, visit our 'Same Since' Electoral Map Timeline. CATO INSTITUTE: Central Bank Digital Currencies Are a Threat to Freedom. Global Liquidity Is Increasing Despite the Fed. Latino voters in the state, like those across the U.S., constitute a solid base for Democrats. Which ones are more politically competitive? Dec. 10, 2020. As the 2016 election cycle approached, the electoral map had become pretty predictable. That made a difference in a state that was ultimately decided by roughly 45,000votes. But the distinction between the two groups of states is less simplistic. For the GOP, this represented 179 electoral votes. But look, this is what PA elected officials told us could happen for months. Neither party national committee has officially accepted these color designations, though informal use by each party is becoming common. So he has a little cushion there to workwith. Biden won Daneand Milwaukee counties by far larger margins than Hillary Clinton, pushing him to victory in Wisconsin. Then again, Sen. Bob Casey told me he thought the race could potentially be called in Pennsylvania tonight. Dane County is home to Madison, the second-largest city in Wisconsin. "[27] Arguably, this eventually proved to be somewhat true, but not in McCain's favor as Obama won three "red" states that had not voted Democratic in many years, namely Virginia, North Carolina, and Indiana along with a part of deep red Nebraska, via the state's (much less conservative as a whole) second congressional district. The key swing region is the. [30] It attempts to represent the margin of victory in each county by coloring each with a shade between true blue and true red. [24] A juxtaposition of differing colors and shades can result in contrast misperceptions. Connecticut, Maryland, Delaware, New York and Pennsylvaniaare also among the ten densest states in the US. From the 2000-2004 election only three states changed Color. Overall, Pennsylvania is a "blue state" 49 percent of registered voters are Democrats, 37 percent are Republicans and 14 percent are independents or members of minor parties. Here are the 10 states with the largest Democratic advantage: Wyoming - R+26 West Virginia - R+23 North Dakota - R+20 Oklahoma - R+20 There was one historical use, associated with boss rule, of blue for Democrats and red for Republicans: during the late 19th century and early 20th century, Texas county election boards used color-coding to help Spanish-speaking and illiterate voters identify the parties;[8] however, this system was not applied consistently in Texas and was not replicated in any other state. Which means he's a Nebraska-02 (where he's currently leading) away from hitting 270 on the number, WITHOUT Pennsylvania and Maine's 2ndDistrict. Pennsylvania Cc Race Results - PennTrackXC.com He won 56 percent to Trump's 43. Telling tweet from election law expert Rick Hasen: "Biggest surprise of the election watch for me so far: Florida's election administration doesn't make my top 3 of places I'm worried about. Additional data from U.S. Census Bureau, MIT Election Lab and POLITICO reporting. Throughout much of this campaign cycle, Pennsylvania has been considered a hotly contested toss-up, and it has been the focus of several mail voting-related lawsuits. Trump's New Math: Inside the Plan to Flip Blue States in 2020. [3][4] However, the perception of some states as "blue" and some as "red" was reinforced by a degree of partisan stability from election to election from the 2000 election to the 2004 election, only three states changed "color"; and as of 2020, 35 out of 50 states have voted for the same party in every presidential election since the red-blue terminology was popularized in 2000, with only 15 having swung between the 2000 and 2020 election. According to the NYT, more than 98% of estimated votes there have been reported. In fact, the only Georgia county that flipped Burke voted Clinton in 2016, then Trump in 2020. Use arrow keys to move around the map. In September, just eight states had. The state has 20 electoral votes at stake in the presidential race. Tennessee. You have to beware with these reports, though. Despite the prevalent winner-take-all practice, the minority always gets a sizable vote. McCain held the more suburban and rural areas of both the red and blue states, while Obama received the large majority of the urban city areas in all the states. This may have been a holdover from the Civil War, during which the predominantly Republican north was considered "blue". If you would like to change your settings or withdraw consent at any time, the link to do so is in our privacy policy accessible from our home page.. Experts weigh in on swing-state status. By household income, Obama got a majority of households with less than $50,000 in annual income. The advent of color television in America during the late 1950s and early 1960s prompted television news reporters to rely on color-coded electoral maps, though sources conflict as to the conventions they used. Republican Nov. 12, 2020, 11:00 AM UTC / . Live results and analysis from the Jan. 5 Senaterunoffs, White House Correspondent & Associate Editor. One problem occurs when areal units differ in size and significance, as is the case with election maps. However, the combination of higher vote margins than Clinton in Tucson (Pima County) and Maricopa's flip from red to blue meant Biden still prevailed inthe state. Data: MIT Election Data and Science Lab / Harvard Dataverse through 2018; 270toWin research. List of Red States (Republican States) - WorldAtlas While Hillary Clinton dominated in Philadelphia, winning 82%, she only took a 475,000-vote edge out of the city, compared Barack Obamas 492,000 vote advantage in 2012. Historically, Pennsylvania defies being labeled as 'Blue' or 'Red' state How The 2020 Election Changed The Electoral Map | FiveThirtyEight Interactive 2024 Election Map - Electoral Vote Map To do so, he improved upon Clinton's margins in a range of both. Same Since 2000: After 2020 Election After the 2004 election, Vanderbei and then others made similar maps summarizing the results. We and our partners use data for Personalised ads and content, ad and content measurement, audience insights and product development. To take one random anecdote, my dad claimed there was a four-hour line in one polling place in my home county, York (a very conservativearea). All 50 States of the United States of America contain both Democratic and Republican voters but only Blue or Red colors appear on the electoral map because of the winner-take-all system used by most states in the Electoral College. The following list is tabled from the last Presidential Election 2020. Will Pennsylvania be red or blue in 2020? Former Governor Ed Rendell Holly If Biden loses Fla, North Carolina and Georgia, his so-called greater Midwest certainly includes winning Pennsylvania. But what they didn't realize was that Trump was surging in rural parts of the state and flipping some swing counties like the ones mentionedabove. In 2016 and 2020, Missouri again voted strongly Republican, this time for Donald Trump, despite Trump losing the latter election. Some maps attempt to account for this by using cartogram methods, but the resulting distortion can make such maps difficult to read. The state went to Trump in 2016, but this time around, it flipped to Biden by a narrow margin. Biden's margin of victory was under 1% in Arizona, Georgia, and Wisconsin, and it was under 1.2% in Pennsylvania. Heres why Pennsylvania is a Red State to the core. List Of Blue States And Red States No. Like around the country, we're seeing. Sorry Marc. Swing states: Arizona - A red state turning blue? - CGTN While all of these issues are concerning, none of them are too far out of the ordinary for issues that arise during any normal election year and this year was far from normal, with many expecting the worst in terms of potential disruptions and possibleconflict.". By breaking the map down into smaller units (including many blue counties lying next to red counties), these maps tend to display many states with a purplish hue, thus demonstrating that an ostensibly blue or red state may, in fact, be closely divided. California and New York have become national catalysts for progressive policies, while Texas and Florida have become the most powerful advocates of conservative alternatives. So first, I'm looking to see what exactly we learn tonight and how quickly local governments across the state are able to process mail ballots. Some election maps, however, have violated this tradition by simply coloring each areal unit with a red-blue mixture linked to voting ratio dataresulting in an "unclassified choropleth map". Below, we've broken out how 16 battleground states voted since 2000 and what the ever-changing Electoral College map could mean going forward. Turn on desktop notifications for breaking stories about interest? It delivered a big margin for Clinton in2016. Explainer: Red States, Blue States - YouTube Each tend to show some patterns well while obscuring others. The converse can also be true, as in the case of Maine, which had two Republican U.S. senators, but Democratic presidential candidate John Kerry won the state's electoral votes. List Of Blue States And Red States In The United States (2023) - GkGigs The Pennsylvania Senate, on the other hand, has been under consistent Republican control for decades. The state had an additional redistricting before 2018. The Hill . In fact, he said, some states may experience a "red shift," and even Pennsylvania's blue shift may change in the future as different voters adapt to the new absentee ballot system and counties that used to process them on election night stop doing so. Pennsylvania Presidential Election Voting History - 270toWin China Hopes Recovery Dims Memories of Zero COVID Debacle, Industry Races to Diversify Away from China. In the 2008 elections, both parties received at least 40% from all sizable socioeconomic demographics, except that McCain (Republican) received 37% from voters earning $15,000$30,000, and 25% from voters earning under $15,000, according to exit polling. [41][note 1][42]. The state now has just half the 38 electoral votes it had a century ago. Charlie Many voters in Philly and the suburbs don't like fracking and want to ban it. Blue wall (U.S. politics) - Wikipedia - Matter of Fact with Soledad O'Brien Perhaps no one is better at understanding Pennsylvania voters than former Governor Ed Rendell. In 2008, college graduates were divided equally; those with postgraduate degrees voted for Obama by an 18% margin. All but 10 states1 1Plus one congressional district in Nebraska had voted consistently Democratic or Republican for (at least) the prior four consecutive presidential elections. Pennsylvania has a long history of being consequential in presidential elections choosing 20 of the last 25 . Same for GA senate races Charlie. Colored bars represent electoral votes by party. So will that number end up being less than 100,000, ornot? It is now seen that the Democratic Blue and Republican Red color scheme is now part of the lexicon of American journalism. More than 75% of the land area is red, when looking at the map based on land areas, while shifting to the population view only about 46% of the map is red. [9] That same year, a color supplement included with a July issue of The Washington Post used red for Republican-favoring states, blue for Democratic-favoring states, yellow for "doubtful" states and green for territories that did not have a presidential vote.[10].
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